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Jabil's Global Commodity Intelligence Archive

Global Commodity Intelligence

Q4 2022

PCB COMMODITIES

PRINTED CIRCUIT BOARDS

SUPPLY

i

supply

L/T Increase

Allocation

No Constraints


Demand and capacity specifics, change factors and forecasts

Q4'22

Q1'23

Q2'23

Q3'23

  • Average Asia lead times have reduced to 6 -8 weeks from 12 weeks, USA 16 – 20 weeks.​
  • Raw material lead time is 1 – 2 weeks, back to pre-crisis level (before Q4 2020)​​
  • Capacity in China PCB factories is running at 70%, some ability to support upsides for certain market sectors.​
  • Logistics remains the biggest challenge to PCB supply, capacity and lead times are stable, but logistics is not smooth.​

MARKET DYNAMICS

i

market

Churn/ Consolidation

Exit Market

Stable


Commodity demand, supply & capacity, and the supplier landscape

Q4'22

Q1'23

Q2'23

Q3'23

  • The shortage of semiconductor supplies such as PMIC, microcontrollers, networking devices and some RF components, has slowed down or disrupted the assembly of automotives and other electronic devices. As a result, the demand for PCB’s has been  indirectly impacted leaving room for upsides and easing prices.
    • Today the issues for the PCB industry are unbalanced inventories and demand.​

​Market Update​

  • Multilayer Boards ​​
    • Datacenter and infrastructure require more advanced low-loss ML boards for faster data rates.​
    • Automotive market demands more reliable high-current and high-thermal circuit boards. ​
  • FPC ​
    • Multilayer and rigid-flex FPCs for OLED, foldable hinge, SiP modules.​
    • Automotive FPCs for battery management and displays, are growing.​
       
  • Substrate​
    • Continued market growth driven by advanced FCBGA substrates and others.​
    • More adoption of SiP and module substrates.​
    • Due to strong shipments in the first half of 2022, 14%+ substrate value growth is expected over the course of 2022
       
  • FPC ​
    • Multilayer and rigid-flex FPCs for OLED, foldable hinge, SiP modules.​
    • Automotive FPCs for battery management and displays, are growing.​
      ​​​​​​​

PRICE

i

price

Flat

Increase

Decrease


Pricing specifics, change factors, trends and forecast rationale

Q4'22

Q1'23

Q2'23

Q3'23

  • With demand decreasing in certain market sectors, we are finding cost reduction opportunities, however price levels won’t return to pre-crisis level.​
  • Sufficient capacity in raw materials may help in the end of FY2022 and 2023 providing opportunities to drive pricing down. ​
  • Some Rigid PCB raw material prices continue to decline but remain at a relatively high price level compared to pre-crisis level. The combination of a strong US dollar and relatively weak demand has kept raw material costs stable without further increases.

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